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Climate change and the timing of nature: uses in research

Also: phenology, range shifts, spring advancement

As the climate warms, many species are shifting when they breed, flower or migrate, and where they live.

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Timeline

  1. 2003 A global fingerprint of climate change
  2. 2017 Why some species shift later
  3. 2021 Population effects of timing shifts

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biology

lab biology 2003

A global fingerprint of climate change

Parmesan and Yohe analysed species' shifts in timing and range and found a pattern uniquely predicted by 20th-century climate trends, giving very high confidence that climate change is already affecting living systems.

As reported in: Parmesan, Yohe (2003). A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature. doi:10.1038/nature01286

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ecology

lab ecology 2017

Why some species shift later

Scranton and Amarasekare modeled insects and found warming of the mean temperature brings peak abundance earlier, but bigger seasonal swings can delay it.

As reported in: Scranton, Amarasekare (2017). Predicting phenological shifts in a changing climate. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. doi:10.1073/pnas.1711221114

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lab ecology 2021

Population effects of timing shifts

Iler and colleagues reviewed evidence that shifts in seasonal timing affect survival or reproduction, finding population effects in some cases but buffering in others.

As reported in: Iler, CaraDonna, Forrest et al. (2021). Demographic Consequences of Phenological Shifts in Response to Climate Change. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics. doi:10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-011921-032939

Read free · publisher open access

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