Iler and colleagues reviewed evidence that shifts in seasonal timing affect survival or reproduction, finding population effects in some cases but buffering in others.
As reported in: Iler, CaraDonna, Forrest et al. (2021). Demographic Consequences of Phenological Shifts in Response to Climate Change. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics. doi:10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-011921-032939
Scranton and Amarasekare modeled insects and found warming of the mean temperature brings peak abundance earlier, but bigger seasonal swings can delay it.
As reported in: Scranton, Amarasekare (2017). Predicting phenological shifts in a changing climate. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. doi:10.1073/pnas.1711221114